The productivity collapse

(Most developers rebel at this point. "I can crank out a thousand lines of code over the weekend!" And no doubt that's true. However, these numbers reflect costs over the entire development cycle, from inception to shipping. Maybe you are a superprogrammer and consistently code much faster than, say, 200 lines of code per month. Even so, that only shifts the curve up or down on the graph. The shape of the curve, the exponential loss of productivity, is undeniable.)

Computer science professors show their classes graphs like the one in Figure 2 to terrify their students. The numbers are indeed scary. A million LoC project sentences us to the 32 LoC/month chain gang. We can whip out a small system over the weekend but big ones take years.

Or do they?